Report Guides
Lunar cycle correlation with market direction — an unconventional look
This is our most unconventional report. It correlates market performance with lunar phases — new moons, full moons, and the periods between them. Is there actually a statistical relationship? The data is surprisingly interesting, though the causal mechanism is... debatable.
| Moon Phase | Avg Return | Volatility | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Moon ±2 days | Slightly positive | Below average | Historically mild bullish bias |
| Waxing (New → Full) | Positive bias | Average | Growth phase association |
| Full Moon ±2 days | Slightly negative | Above average | Higher volatility tendency |
| Waning (Full → New) | Negative bias | Average | Decline phase association |
Probably not as a primary trading signal. But it's a fun data point and the statistics are real, even if the causal mechanism is unclear (some theories involve institutional trading patterns, sentiment cycles, or pure coincidence). Use it as a cocktail party talking point, not a portfolio strategy.